Readers of previous blogs will recognise the above which has actually headlined two previous blogs. I thought this was an apt headline once again for my February update. From a very interesting article in The Times in the middle of February predicting the lowest number of transactions completed in the UK housing market for 2017 since the market recovered from the post 2008 slump to my own experiences of the market Scottish wide I am concerned regarding the lack of properties coming onto the market. Whilst I am still awaiting official figures my feeling is that February will be one of the worst months ever for new properties coming on to the market. With January and February combined probably showing a decrease of somewhere between 15% and 25% Scottish wide. My feeling is that at this stage sales are holding up whilst maybe even slightly increasing thus reducing stock levels to unsustainably low levels and also driving up prices and activity, in certain areas and for certain property types, again to unsustainable levels. The Aberdeen market continues to toil with a lot of sellers still not fully accepting the reduction in value to their property that is required to obtain a sale. What is causing this market anomaly? I think probably a number of factors are leading to uncertainty and uncertainty is, like the small snowball that starts rolling down the mountain side turning into a self-fulfilling avalanche. Economic uncertainty from brexit, global uncertainty from the United States, the constant talk of Inde2 coupled with some Scottish government policies that are anti home owner in particular the LBTT have all had a significant dampening effect on the market. It is always too early to write off a market after just two months especially the January and February months but unless there is a massive upswing at the end of March heralding a surge in activity in quarter 2 then I do fear that the housing market is in for a very bumpy ride. I will keep you further updated as and when the official stats come in.
The opinions expressed in this blog are of the author only and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Blackadders LLP.
Blackadders takes all reasonable steps to ensure that the content of this blog is accurate and up to date. The blog is not, however, intended as a substitute for seeking legal or other professional advice but rather as an informative guide to the services provided by Blackadders and topical legal developments. Blog users should always seek advice tailored to their specific situation. Consequently, Blackadders accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage suffered by anyone acting or failing to act on the basis of information contained on this blog. Downloading of material contained on this site is at the user’s own risk and all necessary virus checks must first be carried out by the user. Blackadders is not responsible for the material found on any web sites linked to this one and links to this site may only be made with Blackadders prior consent.
Blackadders owns the copyright in this blog and all material contained on it. The material on this blog may be downloaded for personal use only and must not be altered. Otherwise, Blackadders’ written consent is required before any material on this site is reproduced, copied or transmitted in any way.
Information passed to us via this blog is kept confidential and will not be disclosed to third parties except if authorised by you or required by law.
© Blackadders LLP 2020
Members of the Law Society of Scotland.
Blackadders Solicitors is a trading name of Blackadders LLP, a limited liability partnership, registered in Scotland No SO301600 whose registered office is 30 & 34 Reform Street, Dundee, DD1 1RJ. Reference to a ‘partner’ is to a member of Blackadders LLP.